Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

320.65 – 236.44

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

241 – 258

Prediction missed · off by 50.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 432.9 ±13.5

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 202.79Rank 3Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

379The RoboCats

Season APEX 148.7Event APEX 70.21Rank 13Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 47.65Rank 22Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484.5 ±12.2

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 77.94Rank 14Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1038Lakota Robotics

Season APEX 143Event APEX 119.65Rank 8Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 38.85Rank 15Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1787, 379, 4085

/ 100 compat

Projected

320.7 pts

~2.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1787, 379, 4085

Auto

66.2 21%

Teleop

142.9 46%

Endgame

104.1 33%

Strengths

· 1787 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3201, 1038, 2399

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.4 pts

~1.2 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3201, 1038, 2399

Auto

62.8 29%

Teleop

133.4 61%

Endgame

23.7 11%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score320.7pts

Blue projected score236.4pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.2
Score range: 198–359
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 499 vs event baseline 212.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

432.9Season APEX484.5

66.2Auto62.8

142.9Teleop133.4

104.1Endgame23.7

90Consistency113

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	58
teleop	132	126
endgame	84	74
foul	0	0
total	241	258

Result

Final score

241 – 258

Prediction missed · off by 50.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable