Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

58.41 – 147.77

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

43 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 9.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 365.7 ±14.5

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX -13.86Rank 30Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4145WorBots

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 32.65Rank 17Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 39.62Rank 21Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 330.3 ±16

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 100.47Rank 2Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4269CardinalBots

Provisional

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX -1.47Rank 28Record 1-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10208Mayhem Manufacturing

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 48.77Rank 18Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3193, 4145, 5667

/ 100 compat

Projected

58.4 pts

~1.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3193, 4145, 5667

Auto

10.4 16%

Teleop

16.5 25%

Endgame

38.8 59%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 120, 4269, 10208

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.8 pts

~2.1 RP (offseason)

Teams: 120, 4269, 10208

Auto

24.3 16%

Teleop

78.0 52%

Endgame

46.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.05 · Blue 2.13

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score58.4pts

Blue projected score147.8pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -89.4
Score range: 19–187
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 195 vs event baseline 217.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

365.7Season APEX330.3

10.4Auto24.3

16.5Teleop78

38.8Endgame46.6

64Consistency140

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	24
teleop	22	86
endgame	6	42
foul	0	0
total	43	152

Result

Final score

43 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 9.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable