Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

172.29 – 311.64

15%85%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

308 – 473

Prediction correct · off by 148.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 332.8 ±12.7

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 24.53Rank 22Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6964BearBots (FRC)

Season APEX 82Event APEX 107.53Rank 5Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 40.23Rank 12Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 527.5 ±11.2

8222The Argonauts

Season APEX 97Event APEX 71.54Rank 6Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 95

48Team E.L.I.T.E.

Season APEX 220.6Event APEX 76.94Rank 7Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 163.16Rank 3Record 4-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4085, 6964, 5811

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.3 pts

~0.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4085, 6964, 5811

Auto

47.9 28%

Teleop

90.7 52%

Endgame

34.2 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8222, 48, 1787

/ 100 compat

Projected

311.6 pts

~2.4 RP (offseason)

Teams: 8222, 48, 1787

Auto

76.1 25%

Teleop

162.1 54%

Endgame

64.5 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 0.94 · Blue 2.44

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score172.3pts

Blue projected score311.6pts

Red win probability15%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 21%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -139.3
Score range: 134–350
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 781 vs event baseline 210.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

332.8Season APEX527.5

47.9Auto76.1

90.7Teleop162.1

34.2Endgame64.5

158Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	53	83
teleop	171	314
endgame	84	76
foul	0	0
total	308	473

Result

Final score

308 – 473

Prediction correct · off by 148.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable