Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.43 – 150.42

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

105 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 402.8 ±16

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 66.34Rank 20Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8145Tech Warriors

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 42.71Rank 29Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4269CardinalBots

Provisional

Season APEX 116.6Event APEX 2.38Rank 28Record 1-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 421.9 ±14.1

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 30.36Rank 15Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 29.37Rank 25Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 79

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 90.69Rank 2Record 5-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1014, 8145, 4269

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.4 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 1014, 8145, 4269

Auto

27.9 25%

Teleop

69.6 62%

Endgame

15.0 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2399, 7885, 120

/ 100 compat

Projected

150.4 pts

~1.9 RP (offseason)

Teams: 2399, 7885, 120

Auto

20.3 14%

Teleop

100.7 69%

Endgame

25.5 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.34 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score111.4pts

Blue projected score150.4pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 6%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -39
Score range: 73–188
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 312 vs event baseline 213.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

402.8Season APEX421.9

27.9Auto20.3

69.6Teleop100.7

15Endgame25.5

131Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	34
teleop	64	119
endgame	23	54
foul	5	0
total	105	207

Result

Final score

105 – 207

Prediction correct · off by 31.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable