Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.92 – 182.52

33%67%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

111 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 29.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 372.8 ±13.9

3138Innovators Robotics

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 54.8Rank 23Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 88.79Rank 14Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX -16.67Rank 30Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391 ±13.9

4145WorBots

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 36.22Rank 17Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 41.75Rank 10Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2603Steel Stingers

Season APEX 155.9Event APEX 104.55Rank 9Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3138, 3201, 3193

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.9 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3138, 3201, 3193

Auto

34.2 27%

Teleop

64.6 51%

Endgame

28.5 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4145, 1308, 2603

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.5 pts

~2.0 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4145, 1308, 2603

Auto

38.5 23%

Teleop

63.6 38%

Endgame

67.2 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.26 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score126.9pts

Blue projected score182.5pts

Red win probability33%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -55.6
Score range: 88–222
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 215.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

372.8Season APEX391

34.2Auto38.5

64.6Teleop63.6

28.5Endgame67.2

106Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	44
teleop	37	111
endgame	25	71
foul	0	0
total	111	226

Result

Final score

111 – 226

Prediction correct · off by 29.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable