Qualification · Qualification 13

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

114.61 – 67.09

64%36%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

71 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 54.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 324 ±17

3138Innovators Robotics

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 74.46Rank 23Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX -29.08Rank 32Record 0-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8145Tech Warriors

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 69.23Rank 29Record 1-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 269.1 ±13.9

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 0.5Rank 22Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 41Rank 21Record 2-3-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10208Mayhem Manufacturing

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 25.59Rank 18Record 3-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3138, 3777, 8145

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.6 pts

~1.8 RP (offseason)

Teams: 3138, 3777, 8145

Auto

27.4 24%

Teleop

59.7 52%

Endgame

28.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4085, 5667, 10208

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.1 pts

~1.3 RP (offseason)

Teams: 4085, 5667, 10208

Auto

29.1 45%

Teleop

19.2 30%

Endgame

15.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (offseason)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setOffseason

Red projected score114.6pts

Blue projected score67.1pts

Red win probability64%

Event bonus sample84alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Offseason events run REBUILT rules with variable local customization.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 47.5
Score range: 28–154
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 203 vs event baseline 218.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

324Season APEX269.1

27.4Auto29.1

59.7Teleop19.2

28.6Endgame15.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	35
teleop	28	77
endgame	17	20
foul	0	0
total	71	132

Result

Final score

71 – 132

Prediction missed · off by 54.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

first-unavailable