Playoff · Playoff Match 9 R3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

442.81 – 357.92

74%26%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

458 – 454

Prediction correct · off by 55.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 571.9 ±11.7

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 97.73Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 186.02Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 159.06Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 638.3 ±12.9

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 112.3Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 123.89Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 121.73Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2614, 2252, 1787

/ 100 compat

Projected

442.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 2614, 2252, 1787

Auto

90.6 21%

Teleop

234.0 54%

Endgame

109.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5811, 4467, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

357.9 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5811, 4467, 117

Auto

64.3 18%

Teleop

195.1 55%

Endgame

92.8 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 1.43

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score442.8pts

Blue projected score357.9pts

Red win probability74%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 74%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 15%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 84.9
Score range: 315–486
Upset likelihood: 26%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 912 vs event baseline 237.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

571.9Season APEX638.3

90.6Auto64.3

234Teleop195.1

109Endgame92.8

12Consistency62

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	103	58
teleop	268	275
endgame	87	121
foul	0	0
total	458	454

Result

Final score

458 – 454

Prediction correct · off by 55.6 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.