Playoff · Playoff Match 2 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

458.65 – 201.93

96%4%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

445 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 571.9 ±11.7

2614Mountaineer Area RoboticS (MARS)

Season APEX 107.6Event APEX 98.21Rank 30Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 198.42Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 162.02Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 331.3 ±13.9

10208Mayhem Manufacturing

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 38.7Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3138Innovators Robotics

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 65.7Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2228CougarTech

Season APEX 113Event APEX 97.53Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2614, 2252, 1787

/ 100 compat

Projected

458.7 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2614, 2252, 1787

Auto

86.1 19%

Teleop

255.4 57%

Endgame

109.6 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10208, 3138, 2228

/ 100 compat

Projected

201.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10208, 3138, 2228

Auto

33.8 17%

Teleop

103.0 53%

Endgame

58.6 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.67 · Blue 0.82

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score458.7pts

Blue projected score201.9pts

Red win probability96%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 256.7
Score range: 162–499
Upset likelihood: 4%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 688 vs event baseline 224.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

571.9Season APEX331.3

86.1Auto33.8

255.4Teleop103

109.6Endgame58.6

23Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	43
teleop	234	124
endgame	91	76
foul	25	0
total	445	243

Result

Final score

445 – 243

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.