Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
99.32 – 99.32
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
229 – 329
Prediction missed · off by 179.7 points
Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.7 ±14.5
Season APEX 176.5Event APEX -Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 148.4Event APEX -Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 85.8Event APEX -Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 523.5 ±13.5
Season APEX 110.1Event APEX -Rank 37Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 143Event APEX -Rank 7Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 270.4Event APEX -Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5811, 3504, 8243
50
/ 100 compatProjected
99.3 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 5811, 3504, 8243
Auto
29.8 30%
Teleop
49.7 50%
Endgame
19.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 72%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 451, 1038, 117
50
/ 100 compatProjected
99.3 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 451, 1038, 117
Auto
29.8 30%
Teleop
49.7 50%
Endgame
19.9 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 72%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.8 · Blue 1.8
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score99.3pts
Blue projected score99.3pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 72%, blue 73%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 5%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 63–135
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
410.7Season APEX523.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 31 | 58 |
| teleop | 110 | 184 |
| endgame | 88 | 87 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 229 | 329 |
Result
Final score
229 – 329
Prediction missed · off by 179.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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