Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

161.36 – 317.58

13%87%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

211 – 492

Prediction correct · off by 112 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 400.9 ±13.9

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 42.59Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8243AstroCircuits

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 57.38Rank 46Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 61.39Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 645.1 ±13

6237Martin Motion

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 135.73Rank 3Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 175.14Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10207Doomsday Engineering

Season APEX 143.1Event APEX 6.71Rank 24Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1014, 8243, 10011

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.4 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1014, 8243, 10011

Auto

30.1 19%

Teleop

105.0 67%

Endgame

22.7 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6237, 695, 10207

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.6 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6237, 695, 10207

Auto

62.4 20%

Teleop

165.3 52%

Endgame

90.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.06 · Blue 2.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score161.4pts

Blue projected score317.6pts

Red win probability13%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -156.2
Score range: 121–358
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 703 vs event baseline 221.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

400.9Season APEX645.1

30.1Auto62.4

105Teleop165.3

22.7Endgame90.3

74Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	101
teleop	119	328
endgame	43	48
foul	0	15
total	211	492

Result

Final score

211 – 492

Prediction correct · off by 112 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.