Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

89.29 – 89.29

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

468 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 229.7 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 620.2 ±11.7

2603Steel Stingers

Season APEX 155.9Event APEX -Rank 18Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX -Rank 4Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX -Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.2 ±15.6

6302Greeneville High School Robotics

Season APEX 110Event APEX -Rank 40Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX -Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

677Murphy's Outlaws

Season APEX 122.8Event APEX -Rank 49Record 1-8-0Status establishedConfidence 86

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2603, 2252, 1787

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2603, 2252, 1787

Auto

26.8 30%

Teleop

44.6 50%

Endgame

17.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6302, 5667, 677

/ 100 compat

Projected

89.3 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 6302, 5667, 677

Auto

26.8 30%

Teleop

44.6 50%

Endgame

17.9 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.79 · Blue 1.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score89.3pts

Blue projected score89.3pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 73%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 57–121
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 638 vs event baseline 178.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

620.2Season APEX360.2

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	97	34
teleop	239	69
endgame	117	67
foul	15	0
total	468	170

Result

Final score

468 – 170

Prediction correct · off by 229.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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