Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

149.04 – 189.19

38%62%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

267 – 219

Prediction missed · off by 73.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 418.1 ±14.1

9152Rat Fight

Season APEX 142.5Event APEX 7.3Rank 26Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1787The Flying Circuits

Season APEX 209.9Event APEX 141.33Rank 15Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3324The Metrobots

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 0.41Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 339.6 ±16.8

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 44.46Rank 42Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10987The Legion

Provisional

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 21.91Rank 48Record 1-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 122.82Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9152, 1787, 3324

/ 100 compat

Projected

149 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9152, 1787, 3324

Auto

28.2 20%

Teleop

69.3 48%

Endgame

46.8 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4085, 10987, 5811

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.2 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4085, 10987, 5811

Auto

31.3 17%

Teleop

113.8 64%

Endgame

33.9 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.55 · Blue 2.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score149pts

Blue projected score189.2pts

Red win probability38%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -40.2
Score range: 109–229
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 486 vs event baseline 219.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

418.1Season APEX339.6

28.2Auto31.3

69.3Teleop113.8

46.8Endgame33.9

59Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	37
teleop	151	107
endgame	61	75
foul	0	0
total	267	219

Result

Final score

267 – 219

Prediction missed · off by 73.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.