Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

85.28 – 370.44

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 376

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 297.5 ±15.6

3324The Metrobots

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 3.93Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

2010The Lightning Bots

Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 5.75Rank 50Record 0-9-0Status establishedConfidence 86

379The RoboCats

Season APEX 148.7Event APEX 75.6Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 628.3 ±11.7

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 131.91Rank 19Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4145WorBots

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 118.63Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 119.9Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3324, 2010, 379

/ 100 compat

Projected

85.3 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 3324, 2010, 379

Auto

13.9 15%

Teleop

41.7 46%

Endgame

35.3 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2399, 4145, 117

/ 100 compat

Projected

370.4 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2399, 4145, 117

Auto

44.9 13%

Teleop

201.7 57%

Endgame

109.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 72%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.84 · Blue 2.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score85.3pts

Blue projected score370.4pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 72%, blue 72%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -285.2
Score range: 46–409
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 490 vs event baseline 216.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

297.5Season APEX628.3

13.9Auto44.9

41.7Teleop201.7

35.3Endgame109.1

37Consistency79

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	84
teleop	42	243
endgame	45	49
foul	0	0
total	114	376

Result

Final score

114 – 376

Prediction correct · off by 17.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.