Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

272.06 – 120.58

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

493 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 112.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 591.1 ±14.1

3504Girls of Steel

Season APEX 148.4Event APEX 58.4Rank 25Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 91

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 107.79Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 105.87Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 263.3 ±15

5667The Digital Eagles

Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 88.96Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

3324The Metrobots

Season APEX 65.7Event APEX 0.16Rank 45Record 2-7-0Status establishedConfidence 86

1736Robot Casserole

Season APEX 70.2Event APEX 31.46Rank 32Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3504, 4467, 2338

/ 100 compat

Projected

272.1 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 3504, 4467, 2338

Auto

43.8 16%

Teleop

119.3 45%

Endgame

103.9 39%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5667, 3324, 1736

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5667, 3324, 1736

Auto

28.3 22%

Teleop

67.5 52%

Endgame

34.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.58 · Blue 1.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score272.1pts

Blue projected score120.6pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 79%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 151.5
Score range: 83–310
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 610 vs event baseline 213.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

591.1Season APEX263.3

43.8Auto28.3

119.3Teleop67.5

103.9Endgame34

10Consistency110

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	95	30
teleop	281	53
endgame	117	34
foul	0	0
total	493	117

Result

Final score

493 – 117

Prediction correct · off by 112.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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