Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

121.88 – 285.9

11%89%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

129 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 289.2 ±16.8

9139Reserve Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX 11.77Rank 47Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

10208Mayhem Manufacturing

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 47.58Rank 38Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 62.53Rank 28Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 479.2 ±13.5

578Fairport Robotics

Season APEX 77Event APEX 27Rank 35Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3138Innovators Robotics

Season APEX 150.9Event APEX 68.03Rank 5Record 7-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 190.87Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9139, 10208, 9075

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.9 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9139, 10208, 9075

Auto

27.8 25%

Teleop

43.3 39%

Endgame

38.6 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 7%

Blue · 578, 3138, 2338

/ 100 compat

Projected

285.9 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 578, 3138, 2338

Auto

56.5 20%

Teleop

146.4 51%

Endgame

84.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 7%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.96 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score121.9pts

Blue projected score285.9pts

Red win probability11%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 7%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -164
Score range: 77–331
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 345 vs event baseline 250.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

289.2Season APEX479.2

27.8Auto56.5

43.3Teleop146.4

38.6Endgame84

59Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	31	50
teleop	26	75
endgame	52	91
foul	20	0
total	129	216

Result

Final score

129 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 38.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.