Qualification · Qualification 47
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
92.68 – 135.99
37%63%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
187 – 54
Prediction missed · off by 88.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 318.7 ±17.2
9139Reserve Robotics
Provisional
Season APEX 64.8Event APEX -0.29Rank 47Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 113Event APEX 83.51Rank 22Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 9.46Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 303.1 ±17.7
Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 69.64Rank 31Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
10987The Legion
Provisional
Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 47.7Rank 48Record 1-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 71
Season APEX 83.1Event APEX 18.65Rank 50Record 0-9-0Status establishedConfidence 86
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9139, 2228, 9097
38
/ 100 compatProjected
92.7 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 9139, 2228, 9097
Auto
11.9 15%
Teleop
35.3 45%
Endgame
30.8 39%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Blue · 10011, 10987, 2010
48
/ 100 compatProjected
136 pts
~2.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 10011, 10987, 2010
Auto
39.7 29%
Teleop
85.8 62%
Endgame
13.2 10%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 70%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 3%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.49 · Blue 2
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score92.7pts
Blue projected score136pts
Red win probability37%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 70%, blue 70%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -43.3
- Score range
- 54–175
- Upset likelihood
- 37%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
318.7Season APEX303.1
11.9Auto39.7
35.3Teleop85.8
30.8Endgame13.2
73Consistency110
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 24 | 24 |
| teleop | 112 | 19 |
| endgame | 51 | 11 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 187 | 54 |
Result
Final score
187 – 54
Prediction missed · off by 88.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
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