Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

235.96 – 259.34

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

244 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 444 ±14.5

8145Tech Warriors

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 9.54Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4145WorBots

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 128.06Rank 20Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 98.36Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 611.7 ±11.6

2338Gear It Forward

Season APEX 251.3Event APEX 102.4Rank 8Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 105.18Rank 11Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 51.76Rank 29Record 4-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8145, 4145, 4467

/ 100 compat

Projected

236 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 8145, 4145, 4467

Auto

36.8 16%

Teleop

110.8 50%

Endgame

75.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2338, 5811, 1014

/ 100 compat

Projected

259.3 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2338, 5811, 1014

Auto

35.7 14%

Teleop

159.4 63%

Endgame

58.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.67 · Blue 1.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score236pts

Blue projected score259.3pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.4
Score range: 197–298
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 550 vs event baseline 215.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

444Season APEX611.7

36.8Auto35.7

110.8Teleop159.4

75.7Endgame58.5

70Consistency93

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	47	60
teleop	127	145
endgame	70	66
foul	0	35
total	244	306

Result

Final score

244 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 27.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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