Qualification · Qualification 39

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

109.84 – 417.99

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

326 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 121.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 455.7 ±19.1

10987The Legion

Provisional

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 20.18Rank 48Record 1-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

9139Reserve Robotics

Provisional

Season APEX 64.8Event APEX -36.49Rank 47Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 71

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 126.15Rank 9Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 748 ±12.4

4467Titanium Titans

Season APEX 191.4Event APEX 91.68Rank 14Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

117Steel Dragons

Season APEX 270.4Event APEX 152.92Rank 6Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4028The Beak Squad

Season APEX 286.2Event APEX 173.39Rank 1Record 8-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10987, 9139, 695

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10987, 9139, 695

Auto

39.4 36%

Teleop

23.3 21%

Endgame

46.3 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4467, 117, 4028

/ 100 compat

Projected

418 pts

~2.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4467, 117, 4028

Auto

57.0 14%

Teleop

248.8 60%

Endgame

108.4 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.75 · Blue 2.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score109.8pts

Blue projected score418pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 24%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -308.1
Score range: 71–457
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 771 vs event baseline 214.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

455.7Season APEX748

39.4Auto57

23.3Teleop248.8

46.3Endgame108.4

104Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	32
teleop	178	267
endgame	80	146
foul	0	0
total	326	445

Result

Final score

326 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 121.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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