Qualification · Qualification 18
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
185.9 – 123.05
69%31%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
254 – 135
Prediction correct · off by 40 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.2 ±14.5
Season APEX 127.4Event APEX 60.59Rank 33Record 3-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 101.63Rank 3Record 9-0-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 140.9Event APEX 23.68Rank 17Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 404.2 ±17
554The Blue Grease Crew
Provisional
Season APEX 153.2Event APEX 84.16Rank 13Record 6-3-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 29.35Rank 16Record 6-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 148.7Event APEX 9.54Rank 21Record 5-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 5667, 6237, 9097
63
/ 100 compatProjected
185.9 pts
~2.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 5667, 6237, 9097
Auto
32.5 17%
Teleop
89.8 48%
Endgame
65.5 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 75%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 554, 8145, 379
49
/ 100 compatProjected
123 pts
~1.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 554, 8145, 379
Auto
20.5 16%
Teleop
80.7 64%
Endgame
25.2 20%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 75%
Supercharged: 6%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.21 · Blue 1.47
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score185.9pts
Blue projected score123pts
Red win probability69%
Event bonus sample182alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 75%, blue 71%
Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 11%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 62.9
- Score range
- 85–224
- Upset likelihood
- 31%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
468.2Season APEX404.2
32.5Auto20.5
89.8Teleop80.7
65.5Endgame25.2
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 48 | 9 |
| teleop | 145 | 83 |
| endgame | 56 | 43 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 254 | 135 |
Result
Final score
254 – 135
Prediction correct · off by 40 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.