Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
478.88 – 185.23
97%3%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
310 – 169
Prediction correct · off by 92.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 703.2 ±10
Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 290.71Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 19.65Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 168.52Rank 3Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 439.9 ±12.2
Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 107.79Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82Event APEX -11.92Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 89.36Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 27, 10208, 4611
81
/ 100 compatProjected
478.9 pts
~2.5 RP (regional)
Teams: 27, 10208, 4611
Auto
106.3 22%
Teleop
272.1 57%
Endgame
95.2 20%
Strengths
- · 27 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2399, 6964, 4145
70
/ 100 compatProjected
185.2 pts
~0.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 2399, 6964, 4145
Auto
40.5 22%
Teleop
105.3 58%
Endgame
34.3 19%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 7%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.54 · Blue 0.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score478.9pts
Blue projected score185.2pts
Red win probability97%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 48%
Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 293.7
- Score range
- 158–506
- Upset likelihood
- 3%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
703.2Season APEX439.9
106.3Auto40.5
272.1Teleop105.3
95.2Endgame34.3
0Consistency13
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 40 |
| teleop | 182 | 66 |
| endgame | 78 | 48 |
| foul | 5 | 15 |
| total | 310 | 169 |
Result
Final score
310 – 169
Prediction correct · off by 92.6 pts
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.