Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.6 – 78.14

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

90 – 40

Prediction missed · off by 31.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 192.5 ±15.1

7165Perkins Pirates

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 15.11Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 29.02Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 20.47Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338 ±15.1

2172Steel Unit-E

Season APEX 113Event APEX 43.48Rank 11Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 94

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 25.87Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 8.79Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7165, 9767, 4085

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.6 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7165, 9767, 4085

Auto

32.8 54%

Teleop

5.7 9%

Endgame

22.0 36%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2172, 9075, 7885

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.1 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 2172, 9075, 7885

Auto

13.7 18%

Teleop

38.1 51%

Endgame

23.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 35%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score64.6pts

Blue projected score78.1pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 35%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -13.5
Score range: 37–106
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Playoff

Combined score 130 vs event baseline 152.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

192.5Season APEX338

32.8Auto13.7

5.7Teleop38.1

22Endgame23.3

13Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	9
teleop	28	12
endgame	28	19
foul	0	0
total	90	40

Result

Final score

90 – 40

Prediction missed · off by 31.8 pts

Match videos

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