Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

177.57 – 84.84

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

252 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 405.2 ±15.4

291CIA - Creativity In Action

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 46.27Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 79

5413Stellar Robotics

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 32.42Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 98.88Rank 9Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 338 ±15.1

2172Steel Unit-E

Season APEX 113Event APEX 46Rank 11Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 94

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 28.37Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 10.47Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 291, 5413, 2252

/ 100 compat

Projected

177.6 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 291, 5413, 2252

Auto

28.5 16%

Teleop

100.1 58%

Endgame

44.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2172, 9075, 7885

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 2172, 9075, 7885

Auto

13.7 17%

Teleop

46.0 56%

Endgame

22.3 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.07 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score177.6pts

Blue projected score84.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.7
Score range: 58–205
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 319 vs event baseline 151.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

405.2Season APEX338

28.5Auto13.7

100.1Teleop46

44.3Endgame22.3

2Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	59	16
teleop	144	16
endgame	49	30
foul	0	5
total	252	67

Result

Final score

252 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 46.1 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.