Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

481.76 – 109.58

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

478 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 3.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 703.2 ±10

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 290.21Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10208Mayhem Manufacturing

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 21.58Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4611OZone

Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 169.97Rank 3Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 471 ±13.3

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 26.84Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 40.85Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2603Steel Stingers

Season APEX 155.9Event APEX 41.89Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 27, 10208, 4611

/ 100 compat

Projected

481.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 27, 10208, 4611

Auto

107.5 23%

Teleop

270.8 57%

Endgame

98.2 21%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10011, 1014, 2603

/ 100 compat

Projected

109.6 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 10011, 1014, 2603

Auto

21.7 21%

Teleop

60.5 58%

Endgame

21.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.55 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score481.8pts

Blue projected score109.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 372.2
Score range: 83–509
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 584 vs event baseline 148.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

703.2Season APEX471

107.5Auto21.7

270.8Teleop60.5

98.2Endgame21.3

0Consistency2

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	107	19
teleop	283	43
endgame	83	39
foul	5	5
total	478	106

Result

Final score

478 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 3.7 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.