Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

48.09 – 438.6

2%98%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

73 – 468

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 281 ±17.7

6916Iron Thunder

Provisional

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 10.45Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6834Bionic Warriors

Season APEX 55Event APEX 23.33Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5811BONDS

Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 14.31Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 618.8 ±12.8

1507Warlocks

Season APEX 154.7Event APEX 143.64Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 6.93Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 288.03Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6916, 6834, 5811

/ 100 compat

Projected

48.1 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6916, 6834, 5811

Auto

16.4 31%

Teleop

23.4 45%

Endgame

12.3 24%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1507, 7885, 27

/ 100 compat

Projected

438.6 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1507, 7885, 27

Auto

95.5 22%

Teleop

249.3 58%

Endgame

85.9 20%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.45 · Blue 2.59

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score48.1pts

Blue projected score438.6pts

Red win probability2%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 10%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -390.5
Score range: 22–465
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 541 vs event baseline 147.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

281Season APEX618.8

16.4Auto95.5

23.4Teleop249.3

12.3Endgame85.9

0Consistency14

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	11	102
teleop	35	239
endgame	7	97
foul	20	30
total	73	468

Result

Final score

73 – 468

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.