Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

207.91 – 335.56

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

310 – 413

Prediction correct · off by 89.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 481 ±14.7

4611OZone

Season APEX 239.7Event APEX 161.12Rank 3Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 56.01Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8140RoboManiacs

Provisional

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -9.22Rank 41Record 1-10-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 541.5 ±15

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 280.2Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 25.76Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 29.6Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4611, 8393, 8140

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4611, 8393, 8140

Auto

38.4 19%

Teleop

126.6 61%

Endgame

42.2 20%

Strengths

· 4611 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 27, 3777, 9767

/ 100 compat

Projected

335.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 27, 3777, 9767

Auto

96.8 29%

Teleop

169.6 51%

Endgame

65.2 20%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.85 · Blue 2.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score207.9pts

Blue projected score335.6pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 12%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -127.6
Score range: 182–362
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 723 vs event baseline 145.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

481Season APEX541.5

38.4Auto96.8

126.6Teleop169.6

42.2Endgame65.2

0Consistency36

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	121
teleop	151	171
endgame	91	121
foul	10	0
total	310	413

Result

Final score

310 – 413

Prediction correct · off by 89.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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