Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

158.17 – 94.05

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

93 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 50.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 318.6 ±13.6

10208Mayhem Manufacturing

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 29.09Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7165Perkins Pirates

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 22.61Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 106.47Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 262.2 ±16.5

8718Tigerbotics

Provisional

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX 35.02Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8222The Argonauts

Season APEX 97Event APEX 31.42Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 27.61Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10208, 7165, 2399

/ 100 compat

Projected

158.2 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 10208, 7165, 2399

Auto

19.0 12%

Teleop

93.4 58%

Endgame

48.9 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8718, 8222, 4085

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8718, 8222, 4085

Auto

33.5 49%

Teleop

33.8 49%

Endgame

1.7 2%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.84 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score158.2pts

Blue projected score94.1pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 64.1
Score range: 68–184
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 152 vs event baseline 146.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

318.6Season APEX262.2

19Auto33.5

93.4Teleop33.8

48.9Endgame1.7

9Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	16
teleop	16	21
endgame	18	7
foul	15	15
total	93	59

Result

Final score

93 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 50.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.