Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

64.83 – 198.58

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.2 ±14.6

8145Tech Warriors

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 20.79Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1014Bad Robots

Season APEX 183.9Event APEX 38.89Rank 14Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 5.15Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 377.1 ±15.2

291CIA - Creativity In Action

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 38.45Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 79

10207Doomsday Engineering

Season APEX 143.1Event APEX 20.26Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1507Warlocks

Season APEX 154.7Event APEX 139.87Rank 5Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8145, 1014, 7885

/ 100 compat

Projected

64.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 8145, 1014, 7885

Auto

11.9 17%

Teleop

38.9 55%

Endgame

19.4 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 291, 10207, 1507

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 291, 10207, 1507

Auto

33.5 18%

Teleop

115.9 62%

Endgame

36.8 20%

Strengths

· 1507 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score64.8pts

Blue projected score198.6pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -133.7
Score range: 39–225
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 145.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.2Season APEX377.1

11.9Auto33.5

38.9Teleop115.9

19.4Endgame36.8

0Consistency26

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	16	36
teleop	31	143
endgame	17	62
foul	5	0
total	69	241

Result

Final score

69 – 241

Prediction correct · off by 23.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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