Qualification · Qualification 68

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

120.85 – 29.79

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

105 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 437.2 ±13.3

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 29.4Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 36.62Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 54.83Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 144.8 ±19.1

5413Stellar Robotics

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 32.64Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

6834Bionic Warriors

Season APEX 55Event APEX 12.11Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

6936Vault 6936

Provisional

Season APEX 18.3Event APEX -14.96Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9075, 120, 3201

/ 100 compat

Projected

120.9 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 9075, 120, 3201

Auto

15.6 13%

Teleop

70.0 59%

Endgame

32.1 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5413, 6834, 6936

/ 100 compat

Projected

29.8 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5413, 6834, 6936

Auto

18.0 49%

Teleop

1.4 4%

Endgame

17.4 47%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.95 · Blue 0.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score120.9pts

Blue projected score29.8pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.1
Score range: 4–147
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 198 vs event baseline 146.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

437.2Season APEX144.8

15.6Auto18

70Teleop1.4

32.1Endgame17.4

19Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	16
teleop	50	52
endgame	26	20
foul	0	5
total	105	93

Result

Final score

105 – 93

Prediction correct · off by 39.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.