Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

126.2 – 321.03

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

102 – 336

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 331.9 ±16

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 34.34Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 26.8Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4121Viking Robotics

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 65.06Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 530.4 ±15

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 279.02Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6916Iron Thunder

Provisional

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 11.5Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 30.51Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10011, 3777, 4121

/ 100 compat

Projected

126.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 10011, 3777, 4121

Auto

27.1 21%

Teleop

68.2 53%

Endgame

34.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 27, 6916, 1308

/ 100 compat

Projected

321 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 27, 6916, 1308

Auto

79.0 24%

Teleop

193.1 60%

Endgame

51.2 16%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.41

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score126.2pts

Blue projected score321pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -194.8
Score range: 100–347
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 438 vs event baseline 145.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

331.9Season APEX530.4

27.1Auto79

68.2Teleop193.1

34.2Endgame51.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	88
teleop	40	165
endgame	25	83
foul	10	0
total	102	336

Result

Final score

102 – 336

Prediction correct · off by 19.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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