Qualification · Qualification 66
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
42.72 – 74.31
40%60%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
62 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 25.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 171 ±16.5
Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 27.64Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 26.32Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95
8140RoboManiacs
Provisional
Season APEX 22.1Event APEX -11.24Rank 41Record 1-10-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.4 ±16
Season APEX 113Event APEX 47.09Rank 11Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 94
8713Nordonia Knights
Provisional
Season APEX 53.9Event APEX 14.97Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74
Season APEX 176.5Event APEX 12.25Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9767, 4085, 8140
12
/ 100 compatProjected
42.7 pts
~1.2 RP (regional)
Teams: 9767, 4085, 8140
Auto
37.7 92%
Teleop
-9.0 0%
Endgame
12.1 30%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2172, 8713, 5811
35
/ 100 compatProjected
74.3 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 2172, 8713, 5811
Auto
21.6 30%
Teleop
48.3 66%
Endgame
3.2 4%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 32%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.18 · Blue 1.66
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score42.7pts
Blue projected score74.3pts
Red win probability40%
Event bonus sample184alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 32%, blue 43%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -31.6
- Score range
- 17–100
- Upset likelihood
- 40%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
171Season APEX343.4
37.7Auto21.6
-9Teleop48.3
12.1Endgame3.2
36Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 30 | 29 |
| teleop | 5 | 42 |
| endgame | 2 | 20 |
| foul | 25 | 15 |
| total | 62 | 106 |
Result
Final score
62 – 106
Prediction correct · off by 25.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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