Qualification · Qualification 64

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

276.45 – 79.98

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.5 ±14.4

7165Perkins Pirates

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 29.18Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8243AstroCircuits

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 16.52Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 230.75Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 354.6 ±13.6

8393The Giant Diencephalic BrainSTEM Robotics Team

Season APEX 219.2Event APEX 52.75Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 1.79Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

10208Mayhem Manufacturing

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 25.44Rank 24Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7165, 8243, 695

/ 100 compat

Projected

276.5 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 7165, 8243, 695

Auto

61.5 23%

Teleop

144.9 53%

Endgame

66.1 24%

Strengths

· 695 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8393, 7885, 10208

/ 100 compat

Projected

80 pts

~0.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 8393, 7885, 10208

Auto

17.8 21%

Teleop

41.2 49%

Endgame

24.8 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.39 · Blue 0.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score276.5pts

Blue projected score80pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 196.5
Score range: 54–302
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 386 vs event baseline 143.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.5Season APEX354.6

61.5Auto17.8

144.9Teleop41.2

66.1Endgame24.8

38Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	23
teleop	118	37
endgame	78	62
foul	10	0
total	264	122

Result

Final score

264 – 122

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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