Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

170.69 – 92.58

73%27%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

184 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 456.2 ±12.8

2399The Fighting Unicorns

Season APEX 207.6Event APEX 113.28Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 36.23Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8145Tech Warriors

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 21.18Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 309.9 ±17

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 38.04Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 38.92Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9194Gemin√-1s

Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 15.62Rank 35Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2399, 120, 8145

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.7 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 2399, 120, 8145

Auto

29.4 18%

Teleop

98.1 60%

Endgame

37.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9075, 3777, 9194

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.6 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9075, 3777, 9194

Auto

6.8 7%

Teleop

58.1 59%

Endgame

32.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.96 · Blue 0.98

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score170.7pts

Blue projected score92.6pts

Red win probability73%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 78.1
Score range: 67–197
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 251 vs event baseline 143.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

456.2Season APEX309.9

29.4Auto6.8

98.1Teleop58.1

37.2Endgame32.8

2Consistency22

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	6
teleop	121	28
endgame	25	23
foul	0	10
total	184	67

Result

Final score

184 – 67

Prediction correct · off by 19.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.