Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

79.65 – 50.54

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

22 – 36

Prediction missed · off by 36.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 236.2 ±16

4121Viking Robotics

Season APEX 129.9Event APEX 76.88Rank 10Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3193Falco Tech

Season APEX 88Event APEX 9.08Rank 40Record 2-8-1Status establishedConfidence 97

6936Vault 6936

Provisional

Season APEX 18.3Event APEX -6.31Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 223.3 ±17.5

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 16.93Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

9643Lady Voltage

Provisional

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 2.09Rank 28Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

8222The Argonauts

Season APEX 97Event APEX 31.52Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4121, 3193, 6936

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.6 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4121, 3193, 6936

Auto

21.7 28%

Teleop

24.2 32%

Endgame

30.3 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7885, 9643, 8222

/ 100 compat

Projected

50.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7885, 9643, 8222

Auto

16.1 38%

Teleop

12.7 30%

Endgame

13.2 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.25

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score79.6pts

Blue projected score50.5pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 29.1
Score range: 25–106
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 58 vs event baseline 146.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

236.2Season APEX223.3

21.7Auto16.1

24.2Teleop12.7

30.3Endgame13.2

45Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	7	15
teleop	8	14
endgame	2	7
foul	5	0
total	22	36

Result

Final score

22 – 36

Prediction missed · off by 36.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.