Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

82.3 – 371.37

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 271.5 ±15.7

7165Perkins Pirates

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 27.01Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 26.62Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10207Doomsday Engineering

Season APEX 143.1Event APEX 28.67Rank 37Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 583.4 ±12

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 35.65Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 281.35Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2172Steel Unit-E

Season APEX 113Event APEX 54.37Rank 11Record 6-4-1Status establishedConfidence 94

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7165, 1308, 10207

/ 100 compat

Projected

82.3 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 7165, 1308, 10207

Auto

9.2 11%

Teleop

46.7 57%

Endgame

25.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4085, 27, 2172

/ 100 compat

Projected

371.4 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 4085, 27, 2172

Auto

90.1 25%

Teleop

214.8 59%

Endgame

59.3 16%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.54 · Blue 2.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score82.3pts

Blue projected score371.4pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -289.1
Score range: 56–397
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 392 vs event baseline 145.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

271.5Season APEX583.4

9.2Auto90.1

46.7Teleop214.8

25.6Endgame59.3

39Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	18	122
teleop	22	166
endgame	29	20
foul	15	0
total	84	308

Result

Final score

84 – 308

Prediction correct · off by 32.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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