Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

67.18 – 90.94

43%57%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

82 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 211.7 ±16.3

6834Bionic Warriors

Season APEX 55Event APEX 15.99Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9194Gemin√-1s

Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 14.44Rank 35Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 89

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 36.75Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 239.4 ±18.8

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 29.39Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6936Vault 6936

Provisional

Season APEX 18.3Event APEX -16.16Rank 36Record 4-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

4145WorBots

Season APEX 150.3Event APEX 77.71Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6834, 9194, 9767

/ 100 compat

Projected

67.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6834, 9194, 9767

Auto

29.3 40%

Teleop

14.6 20%

Endgame

29.1 40%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3777, 6936, 4145

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 3777, 6936, 4145

Auto

23.0 28%

Teleop

39.7 48%

Endgame

20.6 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.27 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score67.2pts

Blue projected score90.9pts

Red win probability43%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -23.8
Score range: 41–117
Upset likelihood: 43%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 243 vs event baseline 144.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

211.7Season APEX239.4

29.3Auto23

14.6Teleop39.7

29.1Endgame20.6

45Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	43
teleop	26	85
endgame	25	33
foul	5	0
total	82	161

Result

Final score

82 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 42.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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