Qualification · Qualification 44

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.66 – 69.53

88%12%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

346 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 501.3 ±13.7

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 131.2Event APEX 22.67Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 94

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 210.57Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX -5.58Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 182.1 ±18.8

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 42.4Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9643Lady Voltage

Provisional

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX 3.39Rank 28Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

6916Iron Thunder

Provisional

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 23.74Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10011, 695, 7885

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.7 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 10011, 695, 7885

Auto

64.6 29%

Teleop

118.5 53%

Endgame

40.9 18%

Strengths

· 695 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4085, 9643, 6916

/ 100 compat

Projected

69.5 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4085, 9643, 6916

Auto

14.6 23%

Teleop

28.3 45%

Endgame

19.7 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 6%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.26 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score227.7pts

Blue projected score69.5pts

Red win probability88%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 38%

Supercharged bonusred 6%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 158.1
Score range: 44–254
Upset likelihood: 12%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 405 vs event baseline 144.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

501.3Season APEX182.1

64.6Auto14.6

118.5Teleop28.3

40.9Endgame19.7

80Consistency4

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	21
teleop	178	18
endgame	100	15
foul	0	5
total	346	59

Result

Final score

346 – 59

Prediction correct · off by 64.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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