Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

119.26 – 247.31

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

47 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 59 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 317.4 ±14.5

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 50.31Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 45.28Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8243AstroCircuits

Season APEX 85.8Event APEX 23.67Rank 29Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 457.7 ±15.3

695Bison Robotics

A+

Season APEX 302.1Event APEX 200.46Rank 2Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 11.04Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 35.81Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9075, 9767, 8243

/ 100 compat

Projected

119.3 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 9075, 9767, 8243

Auto

38.1 34%

Teleop

26.7 24%

Endgame

46.6 42%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 695, 1308, 3777

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.3 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 695, 1308, 3777

Auto

43.8 19%

Teleop

120.6 51%

Endgame

72.2 31%

Strengths

· 695 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score119.3pts

Blue projected score247.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 49%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128
Score range: 94–272
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 340 vs event baseline 140.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

317.4Season APEX457.7

38.1Auto43.8

26.7Teleop120.6

46.6Endgame72.2

33Consistency50

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	57
teleop	17	186
endgame	3	50
foul	5	0
total	47	293

Result

Final score

47 – 293

Prediction correct · off by 59 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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