Qualification · Qualification 36

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

98.08 – 22.92

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

128 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 315.5 ±14.6

291CIA - Creativity In Action

Season APEX 79.3Event APEX 47.09Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8145Tech Warriors

Season APEX 102.3Event APEX 25.46Rank 18Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 25.53Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 146.1 ±19.7

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX -0.23Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

9622GRIDLOCK

Provisional

Season APEX 28.6Event APEX 4.73Rank 31Record 4-6-1Status provisionalConfidence 74

6916Iron Thunder

Provisional

Season APEX 49.5Event APEX 18.42Rank 23Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 291, 8145, 3201

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 291, 8145, 3201

Auto

32.5 35%

Teleop

53.2 58%

Endgame

5.9 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7885, 9622, 6916

/ 100 compat

Projected

22.9 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7885, 9622, 6916

Auto

13.5 80%

Teleop

14.9 89%

Endgame

-11.6 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 52%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.01 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score98.1pts

Blue projected score22.9pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 52%, blue 40%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 75.2
Score range: -3–124
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 146 vs event baseline 142.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

315.5Season APEX146.1

32.5Auto13.5

53.2Teleop14.9

5.9Endgame-11.6

98Consistency19

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	10
teleop	67	5
endgame	20	3
foul	0	0
total	128	18

Result

Final score

128 – 18

Prediction correct · off by 17.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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