Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

56.08 – 101.92

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 35 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 203.9 ±16.5

8222The Argonauts

Season APEX 97Event APEX 23.95Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 95

8140RoboManiacs

Provisional

Season APEX 22.1Event APEX 10.18Rank 41Record 1-10-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX 21.95Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 286.8 ±17.5

9643Lady Voltage

Provisional

Season APEX 58.3Event APEX -7.97Rank 28Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 67.11Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

5413Stellar Robotics

Season APEX 71.5Event APEX 42.78Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8222, 8140, 1308

/ 100 compat

Projected

56.1 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8222, 8140, 1308

Auto

12.4 25%

Teleop

15.7 32%

Endgame

21.7 44%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9643, 9075, 5413

/ 100 compat

Projected

101.9 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 9643, 9075, 5413

Auto

10.1 10%

Teleop

63.4 62%

Endgame

28.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.13 · Blue 1.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score56.1pts

Blue projected score101.9pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.8
Score range: 30–128
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 88 vs event baseline 145.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

203.9Season APEX286.8

12.4Auto10.1

15.7Teleop63.4

21.7Endgame28.2

110Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	9
teleop	9	17
endgame	0	38
foul	0	0
total	24	64

Result

Final score

24 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 35 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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