Qualification · Qualification 31

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

63.84 – 36.06

59%41%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

102 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 22 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.6 ±16

2603Steel Stingers

Season APEX 155.9Event APEX 13.78Rank 30Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3201Ross Rambotics

Season APEX 133.9Event APEX 15.1Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3777Bean City Bots

Provisional

Season APEX 70.8Event APEX 34.96Rank 17Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.5 ±18.5

7165Perkins Pirates

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 44.37Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 3.31Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

8718Tigerbotics

Provisional

Season APEX 90.9Event APEX -11.62Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2603, 3201, 3777

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.8 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2603, 3201, 3777

Auto

6.8 13%

Teleop

26.7 50%

Endgame

19.5 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7165, 7885, 8718

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7165, 7885, 8718

Auto

4.5 12%

Teleop

13.9 37%

Endgame

19.0 51%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 45%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.68 · Blue 1.31

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score63.8pts

Blue projected score36.1pts

Red win probability59%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 45%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 27.8
Score range: 9–91
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 144 vs event baseline 149.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.6Season APEX202.5

6.8Auto4.5

26.7Teleop13.9

19.5Endgame19

124Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	14
teleop	58	21
endgame	22	7
foul	0	0
total	102	42

Result

Final score

102 – 42

Prediction correct · off by 22 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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