Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.75 – 77.24

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

372 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 104.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 581.7 ±15

9622GRIDLOCK

Provisional

Season APEX 28.6Event APEX -7.93Rank 31Record 4-6-1Status provisionalConfidence 74

27Team RUSH

Season APEX 396.1Event APEX 147.04Rank 1Record 11-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9075Redskin Robotics

Season APEX 157Event APEX 36.64Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 171.8 ±17.5

4085Technical Difficulties

Season APEX 74.3Event APEX 27.99Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

7165Perkins Pirates

Season APEX 43.6Event APEX 53.18Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

8713Nordonia Knights

Provisional

Season APEX 53.9Event APEX -3.93Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9622, 27, 9075

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9622, 27, 9075

Auto

37.6 22%

Teleop

95.1 56%

Endgame

38.3 22%

Strengths

· 27 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4085, 7165, 8713

/ 100 compat

Projected

77.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4085, 7165, 8713

Auto

7.5 10%

Teleop

26.5 36%

Endgame

39.1 53%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 41%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.1 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score175.8pts

Blue projected score77.2pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 41%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 98.5
Score range: 52–201
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 436 vs event baseline 140.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

581.7Season APEX171.8

37.6Auto7.5

95.1Teleop26.5

38.3Endgame39.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	81	17
teleop	214	26
endgame	77	21
foul	0	0
total	372	64

Result

Final score

372 – 64

Prediction correct · off by 104.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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