Qualification · Qualification 12

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

69.09 – 26.35

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

115 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 38.8 points

Limited current-season data (11 matches) — wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceΣ Season APEX 99.4 ±17.5

8222The Argonauts

Season APEX 26.1Event APEX -2.2Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 89

291CIA - Creativity In Action

Provisional

Season APEX 45.1Event APEX 45.3Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

9194Gemin√-1s

Season APEX 28.2Event APEX 25.99Rank 35Record 4-6-1Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceΣ Season APEX 184.3 ±17.5

5811BONDS

Season APEX 119.2Event APEX 8.66Rank 38Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

8140RoboManiacs

Provisional

Season APEX 0Event APEX 15.98Rank 41Record 1-10-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

10011Gridrunners

Season APEX 65.1Event APEX 1.71Rank 33Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.7
Score range: 1–94
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-07-01
Model: apex-0.2.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 173 vs event baseline 137.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

99.4Season APEX184.3

29.3Auto8

24.4Teleop-0.1

11.2Endgame14.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	23
teleop	71	20
endgame	5	15
foul	5	0
total	115	58

Result

Final score

115 – 58

Prediction correct · score err 38.8

FIRST/TBA score reconciliation:

agree

Match videos

Watch (youtube)