Qualification · Qualification 11

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

70.09 – 63.73

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

114 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 points

Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 468.7 ±14.1

7885Panther Tech

Season APEX 68Event APEX 24.06Rank 16Record 5-5-1Status establishedConfidence 79

120Youth Tech Academy Red Dragons

Season APEX 146.3Event APEX 20.68Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2252The Mavericks

Season APEX 254.4Event APEX 25.35Rank 9Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.4 ±13.3

9767Magnificat MagnifiBots

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 20.68Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

6964BearBots (FRC)

Season APEX 82Event APEX 46.29Rank 25Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1308Wildcat Robotics

Season APEX 84.8Event APEX -3.24Rank 22Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7885, 120, 2252

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.1 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7885, 120, 2252

Auto

23.4 35%

Teleop

26.1 39%

Endgame

18.0 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9767, 6964, 1308

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.7 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9767, 6964, 1308

Auto

28.7 44%

Teleop

17.9 28%

Endgame

18.2 28%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.38

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score70.1pts

Blue projected score63.7pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 6.4
Score range: 38–96
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 180 vs event baseline 142.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

468.7Season APEX241.4

23.4Auto28.7

26.1Teleop17.9

18Endgame18.2

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	11
teleop	64	25
endgame	30	30
foul	0	0
total	114	66

Result

Final score

114 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 23.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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