Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
88.09 – 88.09
50%50%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
65 – 342
Prediction missed · off by 138.5 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 319.5 ±15.6
Season APEX 118.9Event APEX -Rank 14Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 118.3Event APEX -Rank 13Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 82.3Event APEX -Rank 56Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 544.5 ±12.4
Season APEX 197.3Event APEX -Rank 20Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 114.2Event APEX -Rank 36Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92
Season APEX 233Event APEX -Rank 19Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1126, 191, 6300
50
/ 100 compatProjected
88.1 pts
~1.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 1126, 191, 6300
Auto
26.4 30%
Teleop
44.0 50%
Endgame
17.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2053, 5016, 3181
50
/ 100 compatProjected
88.1 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 2053, 5016, 3181
Auto
26.4 30%
Teleop
44.0 50%
Endgame
17.6 20%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 61%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.65 · Blue 1.69
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score88.1pts
Blue projected score88.1pts
Red win probability50%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 61%, blue 65%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 0
- Score range
- 56–120
- Upset likelihood
- 50%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
319.5Season APEX544.5
-Auto-
-Teleop-
-Endgame-
-Consistency-
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 23 | 56 |
| teleop | 32 | 214 |
| endgame | 10 | 72 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 65 | 342 |
Result
Final score
65 – 342
Prediction missed · off by 138.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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