Qualification · Qualification 76

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

184.79 – 170.9

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

218 – 309

Prediction missed · off by 85.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 398.4 ±15

7605ASTRO

Season APEX 121.5Event APEX 38.73Rank 28Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 92

578Fairport Robotics

Season APEX 77Event APEX 31.37Rank 57Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2340Mercy Robotics-Xcentrics

Season APEX 199.9Event APEX 114.69Rank 24Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 430.5 ±14.5

5881TVHS Dragons

Season APEX 90.8Event APEX 26.12Rank 44Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1126SPARX

Season APEX 118.9Event APEX 74.88Rank 14Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

424Rust Belt Robotics

Season APEX 220.8Event APEX 69.9Rank 21Record 5-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7605, 578, 2340

/ 100 compat

Projected

184.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7605, 578, 2340

Auto

25.5 13%

Teleop

105.4 55%

Endgame

59.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5881, 1126, 424

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.9 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5881, 1126, 424

Auto

53.2 31%

Teleop

93.9 54%

Endgame

25.2 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 74%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.92 · Blue 1.6

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score184.8pts

Blue projected score170.9pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 74%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.9
Score range: 135–221
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 527 vs event baseline 201.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

398.4Season APEX430.5

25.5Auto53.2

105.4Teleop93.9

59.6Endgame25.2

22Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	44
teleop	144	149
endgame	28	116
foul	0	0
total	218	309

Result

Final score

218 – 309

Prediction missed · off by 85.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.