Qualification · Qualification 75

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

105.54 – 138.24

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

86 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 260.9 ±15.6

3171HURRICANES

Season APEX 74.6Event APEX 47.68Rank 53Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 86

9624Dynamiques 9624

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 52.22Rank 50Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

533The PSIcotics

Season APEX 77.1Event APEX 5.64Rank 58Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 88

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 336 ±13.5

6648MechaSpartans

Season APEX 80.8Event APEX 19.29Rank 35Record 4-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1880Warriors of East Harlem

Season APEX 172.9Event APEX 81.22Rank 6Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6300The Northwoodians

Season APEX 82.3Event APEX 37.73Rank 56Record 1-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3171, 9624, 533

/ 100 compat

Projected

105.5 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 3171, 9624, 533

Auto

21.5 22%

Teleop

40.0 41%

Endgame

36.6 37%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6648, 1880, 6300

/ 100 compat

Projected

138.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 6648, 1880, 6300

Auto

23.6 18%

Teleop

75.4 57%

Endgame

33.0 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.35 · Blue 1.9

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score105.5pts

Blue projected score138.2pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.7
Score range: 70–174
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 294 vs event baseline 201.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

260.9Season APEX336

21.5Auto23.6

40Teleop75.4

36.6Endgame33

89Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	41
teleop	16	74
endgame	31	78
foul	5	15
total	86	208

Result

Final score

86 – 208

Prediction correct · off by 44.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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