Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

324.62 – 0

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

378 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 523.6 ±12.4

1796RoboTigers

Season APEX 342.8Event APEX 270.1Rank 1Record 7-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3624Soaring Colts

Season APEX 111.8Event APEX 19.19Rank 49Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 35.33Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.8 ±18.2

9194Gemin√-1s

Season APEX 82.1Event APEX 10.94Rank 52Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 89

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX -16.83Rank 60Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

229Division By Zero

Provisional

Season APEX 74Event APEX -18.51Rank 54Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1796, 3624, 11010

/ 100 compat

Projected

324.6 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1796, 3624, 11010

Auto

46.9 15%

Teleop

197.4 63%

Endgame

69.8 22%

Strengths

· 1796 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9194, 250, 229

/ 100 compat

Projected

-24.4 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9194, 250, 229

Auto

17.3 0%

Teleop

-29.9 100%

Endgame

-3.3 21%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 16%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.8 · Blue 0.53

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score324.6pts

Blue projected score-24.4pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 16%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 324.6
Score range: -36–361
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 419 vs event baseline 201.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

523.6Season APEX199.8

46.9Auto17.3

197.4Teleop-29.9

69.8Endgame-3.3

72Consistency76

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	52	17
teleop	241	12
endgame	85	7
foul	0	5
total	378	41

Result

Final score

378 – 41

Prediction correct · off by 47.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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