Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

86.63 – 86.63

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

171 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 54 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 392.4 ±16.8

5149TroyBotics

Provisional

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX -Rank 27Record 4-4-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

1591Greece Gladiators

Season APEX 206.6Event APEX -Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX -Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 276.1 ±18.2

6463Robotic Reapers

Season APEX 65Event APEX -Rank 51Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 88

10714RAMpage.AI

Provisional

Season APEX 63.3Event APEX -Rank 55Record 2-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 70

271Mechanical Marauders

Season APEX 147.8Event APEX -Rank 31Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 89

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5149, 1591, 11010

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5149, 1591, 11010

Auto

26.0 30%

Teleop

43.3 50%

Endgame

17.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6463, 10714, 271

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 6463, 10714, 271

Auto

26.0 30%

Teleop

43.3 50%

Endgame

17.3 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 76%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.85 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score86.6pts

Blue projected score86.6pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 76%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 0
Score range: 56–118
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 234 vs event baseline 173.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

392.4Season APEX276.1

-Auto-

-Teleop-

-Endgame-

-Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	3
teleop	106	30
endgame	48	30
foul	0	0
total	171	63

Result

Final score

171 – 63

Prediction correct · off by 54 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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