Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
35.19 – 244.53
7%93%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
33 – 182
Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 262 ±14.5
Season APEX 96.1Event APEX -13.25Rank 45Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 77Event APEX 33.9Rank 57Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 88.9Event APEX 14.54Rank 47Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 88
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 582.3 ±13.5
Season APEX 154.5Event APEX 11.13Rank 15Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 88
Season APEX 221.2Event APEX 95.49Rank 10Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 206.6Event APEX 137.91Rank 7Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 806, 578, 7718
9
/ 100 compatProjected
35.2 pts
~0.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 806, 578, 7718
Auto
-9.7 0%
Teleop
25.7 78%
Endgame
17.1 52%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7759, 6436, 1591
69
/ 100 compatProjected
244.5 pts
~2.6 RP (regional)
Teams: 7759, 6436, 1591
Auto
42.9 18%
Teleop
135.7 58%
Endgame
54.5 23%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 60%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.78 · Blue 2.65
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score35.2pts
Blue projected score244.5pts
Red win probability7%
Event bonus sample190alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 60%, blue 63%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 13%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -209.3
- Score range
- -1–281
- Upset likelihood
- 7%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
262Season APEX582.3
-9.7Auto42.9
25.7Teleop135.7
17.1Endgame54.5
52Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 37 |
| teleop | 13 | 116 |
| endgame | 8 | 29 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 33 | 182 |
Result
Final score
33 – 182
Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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