Qualification · Qualification 67

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

182.57 – 65.21

81%19%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

111 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 45.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 323.4 ±15.6

4930Electric Mayhem

Season APEX 95.3Event APEX 40.36Rank 33Record 4-4-0Status establishedConfidence 86

9624Dynamiques 9624

Season APEX 109.2Event APEX 56.66Rank 50Record 2-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1126SPARX

Season APEX 118.9Event APEX 85.55Rank 14Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 241.3 ±14.5

7504CyBearBots

Season APEX 128.6Event APEX 52.08Rank 18Record 6-2-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11010Bobcats

Season APEX 69Event APEX 31.69Rank 38Record 3-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

250The Dynamos

Season APEX 43.7Event APEX -18.56Rank 60Record 0-8-0Status establishedConfidence 88

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4930, 9624, 1126

/ 100 compat

Projected

182.6 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 4930, 9624, 1126

Auto

40.3 22%

Teleop

106.0 58%

Endgame

35.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7504, 11010, 250

/ 100 compat

Projected

65.2 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 7504, 11010, 250

Auto

2.7 4%

Teleop

40.3 62%

Endgame

21.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.35 · Blue 0.97

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score182.6pts

Blue projected score65.2pts

Red win probability81%

Event bonus sample190alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 117.4
Score range: 28–220
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 196 vs event baseline 204.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

323.4Season APEX241.3

40.3Auto2.7

106Teleop40.3

35.2Endgame21.8

80Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	39	22
teleop	48	44
endgame	24	14
foul	0	5
total	111	85

Result

Final score

111 – 85

Prediction correct · off by 45.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.